By Connor Miller

PHINS UP

Real upcoming games, real posted opening lines, and a real fitted model — no hand-typed ratings or guessed constants. "Model %" is the Elo rating from the backtested pipeline, carried forward through every completed game into this week. Edit "Your %" if you know something the model doesn't.

Not yet played — this is a genuine future-week projection, not a replay. Opening lines shown were pulled from nflverse's live schedule feed.
Edge for you ≥ 3% Edge within ±3% Edge against you ≥ 3%

PHINS UP

Same pipeline as NFL: an Elo rating fit and backtested on real 2023-2025 game results (pybaseball), carried forward daily. Player props cover each team's probable starting pitcher and full 9-batter lineup by recent playing time — we don't have a confirmed daily lineup source, so that's a proxy for "everyday player," not a locked-in batting order. Batting: Hits, Total Bases, Walks, RBI, Anytime HR. Pitching: Strikeouts, Hits/Walks/Runs Allowed, Outs Recorded.

Fair % — real DraftKings moneyline, where posted Model % — fitted Elo win probability

PHINS UP

Same Elo architecture as NFL/MLB, fit and backtested on real 2018-2026 game results (api-web.nhle.com), carried forward daily. Phase 1 — model win probability only; no player props or real market odds wired up here yet.

Model % — fitted Elo win probability